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THE GOOD SIDE OF MARCH, FOR NOW...

THE FUTURE OF TSWAILS DEPENDS ON YOU, I NEED YOUR HELP TO MEET MY FUNDRASING GOALS...

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LIVING RIGHT...

Friday wasn't the best of days around the region but it was far better than what our friends to the east put up with. Apparently we are living right. A strong low pressure cut across SE Illinois producing heavy rain, high winds, and even snow. The snow band extended from central Illinois northeast into northwest Indiana and Michigan where it was significantly heavier. Here's some Friday evening snow tallies with snow winding down in Michigan where Ann Arbor reported 9 inches. Some areas NW of Detroit were nearing 11 inches. Winds along the snow axis also hit 40-50 mph.

The storm was a big rainmaker just to the southeast with the yellow colors indicating at least 2 inches of liquid equivalent. Look at the sharp cut-off line to the precip. NW of a line from St. Louis to Chicago.

This is a classic satellite image fo the cyclone with thunderstorms arcing out ahead of the dry slot and associated cold front.

The remainder of our weekend will be a keeper. Under a mix of sun and clouds it looks relatively mild by early March standards. You might run into a widely scattered shower or sprinkle late Saturday but if so it will be brief and light. Most of the day looks good. Highs Saturday and Sunday will range from the mid 40s north to the mid 50s south of I-80. Sunday night a few showers could sneak into the picture as a week disturbance approaches from the west. Ahead of it Monday another spring-like day is anticipated with highs in the mid to upper 50s in most areas with a 60 possible in the far southeast.


Tuesday a cold front passes ushering in high pressure. As northerly winds deepen around the strengthening high, a cooling trend begins that grows stronger with time. For the most part our weather in the central Midwest remains quiet through Thursday afternoon of next week.


MARCH MADNESS AT MY NEW AIRBNB IN GALENA CLICK THE BANNER FOR MORE.


A BIG CHILL IS ON THE WAY...

Then the pattern turns very interesting in terms of cold and "potentially" snow. Of course after the debacle we just went through it's hard to trust and model with snow, especially out a week. That said the signs are unmistakable that cold is coming. Here's the EURO ensemble week 2 temperature departures for March 8-15.

The ensemble control of the EURO takes it to another level.

The morning of March 18th the control indicates lows about 25-30 degrees below normal

For perspective, that gets us down into that range of 0 to 5 above for actual lows.

Just for kicks the control indicates this for snow the next 15 days. I don't even focus on amounts as there are too many unknowns in a two week period. However, I do pay attention to the trend and it is saying the potential is there for snowy cold weather.


The first shot at snow in my area comes along Thursday night and Friday. Of course the EURO and GFS have differing viewpoints on how it evolves so for now we'll let the soup simmer with the idea of accumulating snow in this period. I have March 10th circled on my calendar. I'm gonna let you go for now. It was a long tough week and I need a charge. Have a stellar weekend everyone and roll weather...TS

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