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March 1st has come and gone, with temperatures considerably colder thanks to the passage of a clipper induced cold front. Even so, Saturday, the sun was shining, winds were diminishing, and temperatures leveled off at seasonal levels. Sunday will be another sunny, quiet day, with slightly warmer readings.
Warm advection ahead of a warm front, Monday, produces a low chance of scattered rain and snow showers.
However, dry air may limit the amount of precipitation that can reach the ground. Any rain (or mix) with its associated clouds will clear Monday afternoon and temperatures will take off:
Readings remain mild on Tuesday as southeasterly winds prevail ahead of our next storm system, which promises to be a strong one.
Rain will fall for much of the day Tuesday as a low pressure system passes over southeast Iowa. Depending on the exact track, there could be thunderstorms in the region, especially across the south:
Colder air will move in late Tuesday night and early Wednesday.
And there will be a changeover to slushy snow, especially in eastern Iowa:
There is currently good agreement between the GFS and Euro that the heaviest snows will remain just to the northwest in central Iowa and SE Minnesota. Here's the snowfall totals on the European model:
And GFS:
Additionally, the storm will come with some strong winds, around 50 mph, on Wednesday. Temperatures will fall significantly later Wednesday as a strong cold front whips east into Illinois.
The strong winds could certainly create difficult travel, especially in those areas that see a transition to snow.
Roll weather, and if you can spare a donation, we will see to it that it's money well spent....
Meteorologist Rebecca Kopelman
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