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LET THE FLAKES FLY...

A MESSAGE FROM TSWAILS....

Hi everyone, I realize times are tough, and we are all feeling the pinch of inflation. That's the primary reason why this is a no pay site. However, I really could use your help to raise funds for the operational costs and time I invest in this site. Donations have been significantly down this year and to reach my goal of breaking even, I have a long way to go. Many of you are daily visitors and make financial or personal decisions based on the information presented. The majority of you appreciate the honesty, accuracy, and knowledge that you gain. If you fall into any of those categories, I ask that you make a $20 dollar investment in what I feel is a unique and reliable product. That way, we can keep things rolling as they have for more than 12 years. The future is in your hands, and I hugely appreciate the generosity of those who have contributed. So again, if you find value in the site and see the effort that's put into it, please consider a minimal donation to support TSwails today. Thanks for your time and loyalty, TS


THE LONG WAIT IS OVER...

Weather School in Des Moines is over and so is social hour. The rest of the night was to be spent in a hotel suite, kicking back and chilling. Not so fast, cowboy. Snow is on the move, and the last rodeo I want to participate in Wednesday is a 185-mile trip home in a snowstorm. So, I'm in the saddle, riding my stallion across the plains of Iowa as we speak. The price one pays for snow!


It's just a matter of hours before snow commences, and already returns are showing up across southern Iowa. Much of this is not reaching the ground yet, as there is dry air to overcome. However, as sure as the full snow moon, the white gold is coming to our backyards by dawns early light. I, for one, am ready.

Winter storm warnings are in effect for the majority of my area due to a powdery snow that should accumulate 4–7 inches, with some spots receiving up to 8 inches in the NW. The bulk of the snow falls from mid-morning though Wednesday evening.

The EURO has consistently led the way with the highest totals NW of the Quad Cities thanks to a favorable 850mb low pressure track. The GFS keeps playing catch up and is still light on amounts and too far southeast with the heavier snow band. In general, all other guidance is hedging the way of the EURO, and as far as I am concerned it is the light to follow. Here's what models are suggesting for totals as of Tuesday evening.


The EURO

THE HRRR

The NAM12K

The GEM

The NBM (National blend of models)

The GFS, the clear outlier

While wind is not expected to be a major issue, N/NE gusts of 10-22 will be strong enough to push the powdery snow around some. Most of the blowing and drifting will be found in the open country. Dry weather returns Thursday, but another shovelable snow is looking likely later Friday or Friday night.


Posting in a car with no lights on the keyboard is a challenge, so I will leave it here for now. White cold is coming! Roll weather, and if you can spare a donation, I will see to it that it's money well spent....TS

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