CRUNCH TIME...
A MESSAGE FROM TSWAILS....
Hi everyone, I realize times are tough, and we are all feeling the pinch of inflation. That's the primary reason why this is a no pay site. However, I really could use your help to raise funds for the operational costs and time I invest in this site. Donations have been significantly down this year and to reach my goal of breaking even, I have a long way to go. Many of you are daily visitors and make financial or personal decisions based on the information presented. The majority of you appreciate the honesty, accuracy, and knowledge that you gain. If you fall into any of those categories, I ask that you make a $20 dollar investment in what I feel is a unique and reliable product. That way, we can keep things rolling as they have for more than 12 years. The future is in your hands, and I hugely appreciate the generosity of those who have contributed. So again, if you find value in the site and see the effort that's put into it, please consider a minimal donation to support TSwails today. Thanks for your time and loyalty, TS
LAST MINUTE NUMBERS...
I have a class to teach shortly at the Iowa Turf Convention in Des Moines, so I have little time to get in depth. Suffice it to say, the morning runs are in and everything seems to be on track as I expected. I do think the heavier snow will fall a bit NW of where the warnings currently extend and some adjustment in that direction may eventually be made. To me, the area from the Quad Cities NW seems to be the most likely spot for the heavier snow of 5–7 inches, maybe an isolated 8 inch amount. My SE counties should see slightly lower amounts
Here's the latest snowfall output from multiple models. Guidance seems to be clustering up and confidence is high
the majority of my area should see 5–7 inches. I like what the EURO indicates, and I'm following it closely this morning. The GFS has moved closer to its solution.
The EURO
The GFS
The 10K GEM
The 3k NAM
The HRRR
THE 12k NAM
The SREF (Short range ensemble forecasts) These are at 10:1 and with ratios higher figured in these amounts will be close to what the EURO and most other models suggest.
The official NWS forecast is probably too low in the SE and should be higher NW past Waterloo.
Snow develops late tonight and spreads through the region Wednesday through Wednesday night. Think snow, roll weather, and if you can spare a donation, I will see to it that it's money well spent....TS
