ANOTHER TRIP ROUND THE SUN
Hey everybody, today won't be one of my usual in depth posts. As of Tuesday the 17th, I finished another trip around the sun, meaning I chalked up enough credits to complete a full 365-day rotation around the sun. Simply put, I had a birthday (one so big I couldn't blow out all the candles, even with an industrial fan). However, my wife Carolyn and daughter Eden liked the idea of a celebration, and they informed me early Tuesday that I was being hijacked to Madison for a night of fun. Rose, my 95-year-old mom who lives with us, was accounted for, and so was the dog and 3 cats. I didn't have much of an excuse not to go, so here I am.
One thing is for certain, now that I'm here, I haven't had much time to dig into weather with what they had planned. In fact, they asked your forgiveness for cutting into your blog time. So, based on minimal analysis with maximum thought, this is a condensed forecast confined to a 3-day period. Thanks for understanding!
POCKETS OF SNOW
Overnight, light snow and mixed precipitation have gradually pushed southeast across the area. Brief, but moderate bands of snow or mixed snow and freezing rain have clipped the northern half of my area, especially locations north of I-80. In general, amounts of an inch or less have been noted, with any lingering snow expected to depart around daybreak.
After that, attention turns to a stronger clipper digging into eastern Iowa later Thursday and Thursday night. In general, the track will limit snowfall to my far northern counties (on the southern fringe of the system's snow band). Models have been struggling with the track, vacillating south yesterday and a bit further north in the latest runs. While it's hard to say with high confidence, I expect most of the more significant snow to avoid my area, although an inch or so is still a possibility in my far northern counties, especially closer to HWY 20. Here's what models are suggesting for amounts at this time.
The EURO
The GFS
The 10k GEM
After Thursday, precipitation looks minimal through Christmas outside a small chance of rain or snow December 23rd. Cold air intrusions will be limited as well through January 1st with above normal temperatures, meaning highs generally in the 30s and 40s.
From Madison, Wisconsin, with my wife and kid sound asleep in a comfortable hotel room, I'm headed to bed myself. Another year older, but not that much smarter. Roll weather....TS.
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