Weather Journal

1 friday

TIME TO EVEN THE SCORE....

The last 7 days have been fantastic for farmers (and city folk alike) around my neck of the Midwest. Temperatures have been on the mild side which has helped mature crops which were behind schedule due to a cool wet… Load Article

1 smelling

I'M SMELLING WINTER....

With the shot of wind and cold we’ll be feeling Halloween day and the latest run of the EURO control in hand, I may be smelling winter. Let me start with the latest N. Hemisphere snow cover analysis. From what… Load Article

screamer

A REAL SCREAM-ER THIS HALLOWEEN

A vigorous disturbance is set to dive into the Great Lakes Friday with howling winds and a biting chill. Here’s the mid-morning surface map showing the tight pressure gradient delivering the winds ahead of a 1040mb high. Below the GFS… Load Article

1 cold tale

A GHASTLY COOL DOWN FOR HALLOWEEN...

After a 78 degree day in Cedar Rapids and the Quad Cities, colder weather is set to return to the Midwest for much of the next week. The change is brought about by a deepening east coast trough that has… Load Article

1 TERRY SNOW

THE GOOD OLD DAYS! HOW ABOUT THAT OPI

I’m on the road again trying to get ready to make the big move from the Quad Cities to Cedar Rapids. Packing, packing, packing… How much junk can you accumulate in 11 years. TOO MUCH in my case! Anyway, I… Load Article

Weather Journal

c gfs surface

WINTER STORM PROSPECTS INCREASING

Just got a look at the new morning data and it certainly looks like the pieces are coming together for a significant winter storm over some part of the Midwest next week. What I have noted today is that the GFS has maintained a track further south towards the Ohio Valley. The EURO has made a move in that direction but is still about 300 miles further NW and much stronger. It really bombs out a deep storm that could cause some serious chaos with wind, heavy snow, and bitter cold on the storms back side. This looks to play out next Wednesday or Thursday.

c gfs surface

I am posting the GFS snowfall forecast out 192 hours below, (as far as the model goes out) and it is just beginning to show a heavy band of snow coming out of Kansas and Missouri and headed into Iowa. Logically, this would spread northeast as the storm advances in that direction

GFS SNOWFALL FORECAST 192HRS

GFS SNOWFALL FORECAST 192HRS

The EURO goes out 240 hours so you can see it has the total snowfall for the entire event. Still some very big number in parts of the Midwest. If the EURO was showing snow off the GFS track it would be heavier further SE. Vice versa with the GFS only further NW.

c snow

c gfs heights

The bottom line is it’s very early in the game and we are going to see ebb and flow for 2-3 more days before a hard track is established. I will say this, at this early juncture there are strong signs that a significant snowstorm is in the making for some part of the Midwest next week. Roll weather!

1 wqad blog final

About Terry Swails

Terry Swails

Born and raised in Iowa City, Iowa

Terry Swails has been a television meteorologist in the Midwest since early 1977. He began his broadcasting career at KWWL-TV and has also been employed by KDUB-TV, KWQC-TV, and WQAD-TV, where he has been the prime time meteorologist for the last 5 years.

A popular fixture in Quad Cities television since 1986, Terry's passion and commitment to weather is well known. Aside from his television duties, He produces forecasts for the Quad City Times, a number of Quad City radio stations, and does work as a private consultant.

An avid storm chaser, Terry spent a week with legendary forecaster Tom Skilling in search of tornadoes in 2010. They saw their first tornado together (a violent multi vortex EF3) outside Wakita, Oklahoma. Terry and well known storm chaser Jim Reed also watched the eye of Hurricane Irene go directly overhead on the shores of Coney, Island in 2011.

With his vast knowledge of weather and unique perspective, Terry is also the author of several books. His first Superstorms was completed in 2005. He followed that up with Un-Natural disasters in 2008, and All I want to for Christmas is to see a Tornado in 2011. Terry collaborated with his wife Carolyn Wettstone on the last 2 books and has utilized her experience as a writer and former television anchor in a number of weather related projects.

Terry says he hasn't met a storm he didn't like. Tornadoes and snowstorms are his bread and butter and predicting the atmosphere is a challenge that never gets old.

Terry says this web site is a compilation of his life long love affair with weather. He points out "I put everything I would want as a meteorologist into the site. It's fun, informative, and even educational." He also adds, "I hope you find it enjoyable as well!"

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