A massive low pressure off the Pacific Northwest will bring a mild and more active brand of weather to the Midwest the first half of the week. You can see the powerful west coast trough and associated jet pouring into the west. This is already delivering warmer are to the central U.S. as we switch from an Arctic air mass to one of Pacific origin.
This also has implications for the next storm system which takes shape Monday night into Tuesday. With mild air surging north it appears that the wintry precipitation (or most of it) should fall to the north of my local area. In fact, plain old rain will be the dominate form of precipitation around here. You can see highs are above freezing well into eastern Iowa and northern Illinois by Tuesday afternoon. Here’s what the GFS shows.
The storm center that brings the warmth and eventually some precipitation takes shape Monday night and looks like this Tuesday morning. Low pressure again moving through Iowa.
That’s followed up by another fast moving disturbance which you can see Thursday morning.
Between the two systems, the GFS has this for total precipitation. You can see the deep moisture does not get involved until both systems have passed east of my area.
Where it is cold enough to snow it will do so vigorously up to the north. Much of Minnesota and Wisconsin will do some serious digging. The GFS snowfall forecast through Thursday evening.
Once again, I’m left high and dry in the snowfall department. You guys up north please enjoy it for me! Roll weather…TS
Terry Swails has been a television meteorologist in the Midwest since early 1977. He began his broadcasting career at KWWL-TV and has also been employed by KDUB-TV, KWQC-TV, and WQAD-TV, where he has been the prime time meteorologist for the last 5 years.
A popular fixture in Quad Cities television since 1986, Terry's passion and commitment to weather is well known. Aside from his television duties, He produces forecasts for the Quad City Times, a number of Quad City radio stations, and does work as a private consultant.
An avid storm chaser, Terry spent a week with legendary forecaster Tom Skilling in search of tornadoes in 2010. They saw their first tornado together (a violent multi vortex EF3) outside Wakita, Oklahoma. Terry and well known storm chaser Jim Reed also watched the eye of Hurricane Irene go directly overhead on the shores of Coney, Island in 2011.
With his vast knowledge of weather and unique perspective, Terry is also the author of several books. His first Superstorms was completed in 2005. He followed that up with Un-Natural disasters in 2008, and All I want to for Christmas is to see a Tornado in 2011. Terry collaborated with his wife Carolyn Wettstone on the last 2 books and has utilized her experience as a writer and former television anchor in a number of weather related projects.
Terry says he hasn't met a storm he didn't like. Tornadoes and snowstorms are his bread and butter and predicting the atmosphere is a challenge that never gets old.
Terry says this web site is a compilation of his life long love affair with weather. He points out "I put everything I would want as a meteorologist into the site. It's fun, informative, and even educational." He also adds, "I hope you find it enjoyable as well!"
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